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Post Info TOPIC: It's Never Too Early for the Draft


Young Money

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MFisH wrote:

i mean ur pretty much agreeing with everything he says haha.  would u be pissed if they got dalton?  i think he has potential.  if i had to rank the qbs on what i think there future would be i would go like this:

best bet to be great:

-netwon and ryan mallet

best chance to be a decent starter:

-dalton, Colin Kaepernick

Bust:

-Locker, Gabbert

backups:

-ponder, ricky stanzi

biggest risk:

mallet

 

did i miss anyone?


 very nice I like. i thought you were with danny on the kapernick > mallet debate but i guess i was mistaken or you changed your rankings since then.

as for 2nd round QB's i think the reason some teams take them is because its a much lower risk for a high reward. meaning if you take a QB at 15 there is a VERY high risk that your first round pick will be a bust. Theres a better chance that he will be a great QB, but you have invested much more into him, including money. if you take a QB in the second round its not a big a risk becuse its more OK if hes a bust, BUT if he does pan out to be be good (a la Brees) you got yourself a first round player at another posistion AND a solid QB. If he busts its less of an issue than a first round bust and we all know QBs are one of the hardest positions to predict.

Im not saying its smart to draft a QB in the second because like fish said they usually dont pan out, but if a team with a high pick (to high to spend on him in the first) really likes a QB and he falls to the second of course they are going to pick him. That goes with what danny said as some teams might have first round grades on players but arent in a spot to pick him in the first round.

Good talk, I missed this place!

 



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Negus

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nick, i agree with u here, and everything u said makes sense.  although u r definitly right a qb in the 1st round is more of a risk because the team has so much invested in them (money, expectation, ect), i think drafting a qb in the 2nd round is more of a risk because theres a smaller chance he actually works out, n then u wasted time n eventually u have to draft a qb in a later draft with that same 1st rounder (see carolina with clausen and miami with henne). 

if i was a team n needed a qb i would do exatcly what the jets did, and if they cant get a top guy where there drafting u might have to give up a little extra picks to move up in the draft n get him.  but hey jets went to back to back afc championship games i dont see them complaining about the extra picks they had to give up. 



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Young Money

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yup, another possible example could have been aaron rodgers cause when you start fallin to teams in the second half who usually have their franchise QB its rare they spend their first pick on another QB. the pack were smart obviously but brett favre was getting old so it wasnt that hard of a decision. imagine if they didnt take him and he slipped to the second where most teams in the top half would likely have had a first round grade on him. would have been the biggest steal since Brady, and its a 2nd round QB.



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Negus

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agree, but that rodgers situation was a little different.  a lot of teams thought rodgers was better than smith and the 49ers almost drafted him #1, he was never viewed as a 2nd rounder to anyone like an andy dalton or ponder, he just slipped. why he slipped 20-some more picks is beyond me, and i like how he was the 2nd qb taken that year and now this year theres prolly gonna b 7 qbs taken by the middle of the second round.  crazy how many teams r so desperate for qbs now, its only been a few years.



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Negus

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6ixty wrote:

 would have been the biggest steal since Brady, and its a 2nd round QB.


 

 its hard to call a 1st round pick a steal but ya i have to agree with u here. not too many guys as talented as him get picked so late in the 1st round



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According to NFL Network's Jason LaCanfora, TCU QB Andy Dalton is the quarterback "generating the most late buzz," and he could go as high as No. 8 overall.
The Titans reportedly consider Dalton "an elite prospect who carries less of the varied risk" of other QBs in the draft. One source tells LaCanfora that the Titans' offensive coaches are pushing for Dalton while the defensive staff loves Auburn DT Nick Fairley. Dalton is becoming an interesting test case with three reliable, high-profile NFL insiders suggesting he's a lead-pipe lock for the first round while film wonks continue to cast skepticism on his NFL future.


INTRIGUE!!!!!

I personally can not wait for this draft!!!

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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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I love this draft talk, but I must refrain, since it might give away my stellar mock draft.

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Negus

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Jpoo wrote:

According to NFL Network's Jason LaCanfora, TCU QB Andy Dalton is the quarterback "generating the most late buzz," and he could go as high as No. 8 overall.
The Titans reportedly consider Dalton "an elite prospect who carries less of the varied risk" of other QBs in the draft. One source tells LaCanfora that the Titans' offensive coaches are pushing for Dalton while the defensive staff loves Auburn DT Nick Fairley. Dalton is becoming an interesting test case with three reliable, high-profile NFL insiders suggesting he's a lead-pipe lock for the first round while film wonks continue to cast skepticism on his NFL future.


 i heard this too, pft also reported a guy thinks he has 4th round talent haha.  pretty crazy one guy thinks he is a 4th rounder and the other thinks a top 10 pick.  and we wonder why teams always get qbs wrong

 



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Young Money

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So we need to establish the rules for the drinking game thursday night.

I suggested we take a shot for every other pick plus a double when our team picks. this would result in a total of 17 shots each. now thats what i call 0-60!!

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Negus

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ur not even going to remember who the steelers picked by the time ur done with this game haha



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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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I like my game, take a shot for every pick you get wrong in the top 10.


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Negus

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i thought this was pretty cool

 

http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/football/blog/dr_saturday/post/Von-Miller-then-and-now-How-recruits-grow-and?urn=ncaaf-wp1188



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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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Yeah I saw that. 65 Pound increase for JJ Watt!? Roids?

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Young Money

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Fish this sounds like us a couple weeks ago

http://espn.go.com/blog/afcsouth/post/_/id/23773/for-locker-and-gabbert-sooner-or-later


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Chase Cox wrote:

Dan's Players to Watch

1. Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada
His storied career at Nevada started as player once deemed to skinny to play big time college football. The kid has progressed into possible first day talent, and as a fan of a team looking to possibly draft a QB in rounds other than 1-2, this guy is atop my list.

2. Titus Young, WR, Boise St.
The guy was a beast at Boise State, and a strong showing at the NFL Combine could make him the second WR taken behind AJ Green. I don't think is as good prospect as Young, but also keep an eye on teammate Austin Pettis if he attends.

3. Von Miller, DE/LB, Texas A&M
Von Miller decided to stay for his senior year, despite being projected as a first day lock. His numbers dropped considerably, but he could be the best defensive player in the draft. A good showing and I could foresee this guy going as high as #3 to Buffalo.

4. Casey Matthews, LB, Oregon
A strong showing in the National Championship helped put this guy more on the map. It sure must be easy to be overlooked when your brother is the best linebacker in the NFL, but he could one day be just as good.

Obviously there are several players yet to RSVP for the Combine, and we don't know what drills they will participate in, but these guys have already RSVP'ed. I will be sure to add more as they come in.



-- Edited by Chase Cox on Thursday 3rd of February 2011 02:59:02 PM


 Please see my #4.

By the way, Casey Matthews has been named STARTER at MLB for the Eagles.

Notice the date.

That is all.



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Negus

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ill def give u props on that. very good call. a lot of ppl even when he was drafted didnt think it was a smart pick and everything ive read from the eagles reporters says hes been starter from day 1 and has been pretty good. its still very early tho so lets see, but im hoping ur right on this one as well



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Negus

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here we go april 18th

MFisH wrote:


ya no nick so it might be dead but danny i got something for u to think about..

I am wodnering why teams draft QB's in the 2nd round.  I did some research and noticed about 60% about the leagues starting QB’s from this past year were selected in the 1st round.  More importantly, 75% of the starting QB’s in the playoffs are 1st round picks.  As for 2nd round QBs, the only QB who has done anything recently is Drew Breese. The only other teams to even start a QB from the 2nd round were teams like Philly with Kevin Kolb (will be traded), Chad Henne (might get traded) and Tarvaris Jackson (won’t be back).  I feel with a position as important as a QB, you have to draft them in the 1st round otherwise you might as well take one in the later rounds and hope to develop a player such as a Tom Brady, Matt Cassel, or Tony Romo.  So why do teams consistently waste there 2nd rounders on QB’s who almost never pan out, when they can draft potential pro bowl players at a position like RB or WR?  What r ur thoughts on this danny?


 



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Negus

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april 18th

 

MFisH wrote:


haha thanks for the high praise.  i emailed that same question to peter king so i hope he agrees with u and posts my question in his mailbag 2mrw.  but ya, i dont even think a qb should be taken in the 2nd round unless it was a kevin kolb type pick, where the starter is gonna b there for a few more years and u want him as ur future qb.  but as the eagles just showed, that didnt even work out so well.  if u need a qb, u need to get them in the 1st round, and normally in the 1st half of the 1st round.  as u said there are only gonna b a few of them who can lead a team, and normally u no if there gonna b good so u gotta draft them early.  using a 2nd rounder on them means they have potential, but there not good enough to be 1st rounders, that is basically wasting a very high pick when u can easily draft a pro bowl skill position in that slot, such as a leasen mccoy or deseasn jackson.  u either draft a qb early in the 1st, or wait til the later rounds (4th on) and hope u can develop them, taking a 2nd rounder is a normally a wasted pick


 



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Young Money

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#noonecares about your explinations

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Negus

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6ixty wrote:

#noonecares about your explinations


 weird cuz forsters exact post was:

where was this theory last year when kolb was pencilled in as the starting QB, you also seem to respect him down in AZ even though he was a 2nd round pick

looks like #someonecare which was the reason for the post



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Young Money

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not these 2 redundant finds that prolly took u 20 minutes to look up haha...

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Negus

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ill waste as much time as needed at work to prove a point!



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dedication to the chain.

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Im gonna do it, thats right... JPOO'a FIRST SHOT AT A MOCK DRAFT FOR THE 2012 SEASON.

MADNESS YOU SAY!

Kinda, but its more like boredom. Anywho, without further ado, lets break it down!

1.Seattle Seahawks - Andrew Luck QB Stanford

Tavaris Jackson is just that bad, no really. I think Pete Carroll will be FOAMING at the mouth if he has the chance to coach this guy.

2. Kansas City Chiefs - Matt Barkley QB USC

The Matt Cassell days are reaching their end. Its obvious that he was a product of the NE system, he just looks like dog ****. I think the Chiefs will admit defeat on the Cassell Project(sounds like a band name) and hope that Barkley can be a blue chip prospect and give them a true franchise QB for the next decade.

3.Indianapolis Colts - Mat Kalil OT USC

Peyton will be back, and he'll be around for a couple more years, so drafting a QB isn't necessary yet. Imagine though if for once in his career he actually had a half decent offensive line that gave him time to throw? Flip Costanzo out to RT and line this beast up at LT, and Peyton may be even scarier than he ever was!

4.Cincinnati Bengals - Quentin Coples DE UNC

This dudes a beast, and you could always use another pass rusher!

5.San Francisco 49er's - Landry Jones QB Oklahoma

Harbaugh + Good QB = Awesomeness. Colin Kapernick(did you know that guy was black cause i sure as hell didn't, who names a black guy colin?!) is yesterdays news, meet the new boss!

6.Jacksonville Jaguars - Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma St.

So they got their QB of the future, now it's time to give him someone to throw to. Enter Blackmon, a BEAST. Him and Gabbert will be making sweet music for many years to come.

7.Minnesota Vikings - Alshon Jeffery WR South Carolina

Harry Douglas and Bernard Berrian are your two starting flankers... REALLY?! REALLY?! You expected this to work out how? Alshon will come in for Year two of the McNabb era in minny, and then transition to being a weapon for Ponder in the future. DOUGLAS AND BERRIAN?!?!?!?!?

8.Miami Dolphins - Jonathan Martin OT Stanton

Marco Colombo is a PIECE OF ****, time to upgrade to give Daniel Thomas all the running room he'll ever need!

9. Denver Broncos - Reily Reiff OT Iowa

That line besides Clady is awful, time to get better!

10.St.Louis Rams - Dre Kirkpatrick CB Alabama

Can you name a CB on the Rams? Me neither, OBVIOUS.

11.Carolina Panthers - Jared Crick DT Nebraska

Newtons been awesome, and is obviously going to be a Stud. He already has a bunch of toys on offense to get the job done, now its time for Ron Rivera's specialty... DEFENSE. Enter Crick the panthers can't stop the run for ****, and Crick should help to bring some solidarity to that D-Line.

12.Tennessee Titans - Vontaze Burifict - ILB ASU

Ruud is working on one year contract and is a huge liability in coverage thus far. Vontaze will be a beast of a linebacker and will be the QB of that defense for years to come.

13.Tanpa Bay Buccaneers - Alfonzo Dennard CB Nebraska

Aqib Talib (while a thug and a half) is a stud, Ronde Barber is awesome but dude the guys like 80 with almost no one ready to take his place. Dennard can step in and take over for Ronde in the future.

14. Cleveland Browns - Brandon Thompson DT Clemson

Non existent pass rush, insert Thompson, double teams needed, pass rush created. Also will team up with Phil Taylor to form a very nice DT tandem for years to come.

15.Washington Redskins - Morris Claiborne CB LSU

Deangelo Hall isn't as good as the media makes him out to be, take away those 4 picks on cutler last year and Deangelo doesn't even sniff the pro bowl. Morris will help what is becoming a very good defense.





16-30 will follow sometime later this week



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Young Money

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damn josh pretty solid. not sure what youre basing this off of or how accurate it will be but i have only heard of about 7 of those guys

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extreme boredom and research.... mostly having absolutely nothing to do at work.

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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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When your team is 0-4, you tend to find yourself in this thread sooner than most.

With that said, this could also be classified in the BOLD PREDICTION thread, but you heard it hear first.

The Miami Dolphins will select Landry Jones with their first pick in the 2012 NFL Draft.

By that you can tell I still don't think they finish the worst.

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Negus

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so danny, going back to the last time the phins had the #1 pick and use it on jake long, how do u feel about that pick.  he is def not a bust and def worthy of a top 2-3 pick, but looking back, would u have rather used that pick on a qb like matt ryan? 



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Young Money

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who is the #1 LT? If the phins get the first overall pick they are def going that direction

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Mat Kalil out of USC

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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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MFisH wrote:

so danny, going back to the last time the phins had the #1 pick and use it on jake long, how do u feel about that pick.  he is def not a bust and def worthy of a top 2-3 pick, but looking back, would u have rather used that pick on a qb like matt ryan? 


 Its easy to go back and play this kind of game, but if I have too...

I am not as disappointed we passed on Matt Ryan, because Jake Long will be our LT for life.

HOWEVER, you still have to go back and wonder who made the final decision to get Daunte Culpepper instead of Drew Brees. That will haunt us for a LOOOOONG time to come.



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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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I mean think "Butterfly Effect" here.

Drew Brees is a Dolphin. Miami has won a Super Bowl. Arnold Achwartzenegger is president. Barack Obama is selling hotdogs at Cubs games. Kearns is CEO of Office Max.

It kind of freaks me out to think of what it could be like.

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My god.

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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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Yes Josh, it is scary to think. Never will it be brought up again.

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If Kearns ever holds a position of powers, well, I just don't want to see that world.

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Young Money

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all is not lost, the fins got sage rosenfels! Sage to the rescue, 12-4 doesnt seem so impossible now

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Negus

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MFisH wrote:

from Peter King:

 

15. Miami Dolphins

Will Pick: Andy Dalton, QB, TCU
Should Pick: Andy Dalton, QB, TCU

Of the 19 teams that worked out Dalton individually or hosted him for a visit, none was as exhaustive as the Dolphins, and I hear they liked what they saw. I could see them trading down -- they're desperate to recoup the second-round pick they lost in the Brandon Marshall deal -- and taking either Dalton or Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett later. With solid running backs available in the middle rounds, Miami won't go for Alabama's Mark Ingram here.



Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/peter_king/04/20/2011-nfl-mock-draft/index.html#ixzz1KGoUre7G


 i was looking wayyy back at some old posts and look what i found.  danny, how u feel about this PK prediction now?



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Negus

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from apr 22nd

MFisH wrote:


best bet to be great:

-netwon and ryan mallet

best chance to be a decent starter:

-dalton, Colin Kaepernick

Bust:

-Locker, Gabbert

backups:

-ponder, ricky stanzi

biggest risk:

mallet

 


 DAMN SON, look at these predictions (from before the draft), i should be a qb drafter for some teams (jags).

btw, as ive been saying since day 1, gabbert is gonna suck.

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/10/31/blaine-gabbert-getting-worse-as-rookie-year-progresses/



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How can you say he's gonna suck yet? Have you seen what Peyton Manning did his rookie year?

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Negus

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have u seen what cam newton is doing this year?  this isnt 10 years ago where rookie qb consistently struggle.  i thought gabbert was gonna suck since day 1 when he declared himself for the draft and ppl where saying he might be the #1 overall pick and all hes done since is be the worst qb in the league.  not saying its over for him, but it doesnt look good, esp when 3 rookie qbs already look like there gonna be good/great.



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I would like to say, yes, I have seen what Cam Newton has done this year....

Second, Fish, its only been 8 games, a little to early to be making conclusions.

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Gabbert really hasn't been god awful. He's already wayyyyyyy better than Jimmy Clausen ever was last year.

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Gabbert has gotten worse every snap he has taken, but then again, look at who he has to throw to.

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Negus

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the jags havent passed for more than 100 yards in 3 straight games.  cam newton threw for over 400 in his first 2.  just cuz hes not as bad as clausin was last year doesnt mean he doesnt suck also.  maybe the jags should do what the panthers did last year and draft another qb this year haha



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Cam Newton is my man crush. Fish, if you want, I can go alllll the way back to the minute, and I literally mean minute, after the National Championship, where I posted on Facebook about Cam Newton going #1 and being a beast.

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Negus

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ya i remember, u said newton or fairley n nick was on the gabbert being #1 bandwagon haha.



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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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Nick will have something creative to say about that comment he had on Gabbert!

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Blinn College Buccaneers Alum

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BOLD PREDICTION

Cam Newton will win OROY.

I'm going out on a limb here guys.

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well he claimed he didnt get that info from any1 (mike mayock) so we'll see how he defends himself on this!

btw, danny watkins has been looking good.  for all the **** he got early in the year the eagles o line has looked dominant the last few games.  #1 rushing team in the league!



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too bad watkins only has like 3-4 more years of NFL playing time being that hes already like 50....


Cam or Dalton for ROY no question.

But what about AJ Green, the dudes been INCREDIBLE. He's a ****ing stud and a half man. Can you say MANCRUSH?!

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