hopefully u realize this by now, but vegas sets the line on monday, and then adjust it based on how the public bets. there goal is to get to as close to 50/50 as possible. so say if one team is at +3, and all the money goes to that team, vegas adjust the line.
with that said, the lines changing and knowing when to place ur bet is a huge factor in betting. if ur a smart better, and u see a line at +3 and u think that team is flat out win, u jump all over it before the line changes. so obviously, if u place a bet on monday it is not neccessarly going to be the same as someone who bets on the same 2 teams on friday and the odds of him winning are not as good since the point difference is different.
getting back to the point, if me n u make our picks today, and danny waits til saturday, he risks the spread changing on him which is y u got the better bet last week on the miami/browns game. as long as we are using the same column, this is fine.
i hope you realize this by now, but im in first place in this game so maybe you should take your advice from me. yes i know how betting lines work, but they are also for money. were playing a game between friends so i thought betting on the same line might be a little more fair. i obviously forgot, like the draft bold prediction game, that this is a game of life or death so ill continue to bet the early lines and hope they change by sunday so danny will suffer.
relax, ur 1 game advantage must be making ur head big. ur the one complaining that the lines arent being posted. i literally cant copy and paste the column onto a post. i said if u can do it, then go for it. but instead ur arguing with me every step of the way. im just saying i dont think its a big deal if the lines change when we post our bets
i do think there gonna win, but by 9 is a lot. i woulda bet a ton that the eagles would have smashed the giants by 10 last week n they lost by 2tds. no way i would place money on the eagles this week
i no, it sucks. looked a lot worse on sunday tho, they were saying vick could be out 3-4 weeks with a broken hand and maclin was gonna b out a few weeks also. but there both back at practice today so there both gonna play which is good.
i swapped that game for the pats - raiders since you didnt want to do a side bet:
Bills (-3) over Bengals
Vikings (-2) over KC
49ers (-9) over dream team
Falcons (-4.5) over Seahawks
Giants (-1.5) over Cardinals
typo: 49ers are +9.
ill be honest, i agree with all those bets (other than the 49ers, im just staying away from it) n they all look good but they all scare me a little too haha. i thought this was a rough week.
-- Edited by Chase Cox on Sunday 2nd of October 2011 04:32:24 PM
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Another good week and I'll be in the lead b!tches!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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...bet the opposite of whatever I think will happen.
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Let me start this week off. I must admit that I seem to pick better when I make make my picks at 12:50 PM Sunday, but fcuk it. Here they go...
1. NY Jets (+9) over Patriots
2. San Diego (-3.5) over Denver
3. Tampa Bay (+1.5) over San Francisco
4. Kansas City (+1) over Indianapolis
5. NY Giants (-9.5) over Seattle
P.S. I will change my picks up until game time, if I so choose. B!tches.
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fyi, i think i realzie y we all had different spreads before. the betting sites change which column they are on every day. so when i said use the far right column one day it might be oddsmaker.com and the next day it is sbcglobal.com which is y the lines seem like there changing. for now i am just going to pick one website to use, and just pay attention to it. so far me josh n danny all used sbcglobal correctly, nick make sure u use that websites lines when making ur picks!
fyi, i think i realzie y we all had different spreads before. the betting sites change which column they are on every day. so when i said use the far right column one day it might be oddsmaker.com and the next day it is sbcglobal.com which is y the lines seem like there changing. for now i am just going to pick one website to use, and just pay attention to it. so far me josh n danny all used sbcglobal correctly, nick make sure u use that websites lines when making ur picks!
Either that, or just post the spreads directly on the forum on like Thursday or Friday and we just go by them.
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aight im opening an account on sportsbook.com so we can throw some money on this bitch. me and fish looked at it last night and i think if we put our nfl knowledge together (along with a few bucks) we can win some money and have even more reason to cheer for teams that we dont give a **** about...
take a look and let me know what youre thinking. we can parlay anything we want together- straight lines, w/ spread and over/under. obvi the more you parlay the more you win. placing 50 on 5 games with the spread returns 1250!
Nick, goodluck with your account. Since it is illegal to sports gamble in the US, it is like jumping through rings of fire to add money to your account. I have an account with them.
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Your credit card companies will decline the charges if you try using them. The only way to get money on your account is through some very fishy third party PayPal like websites. You used to be able to buy those prepaid Visa giftcards and use those, but even those were getting declined for me.
GOOD LUCK, let me know if you can find a way to add money to your account, I'll gladly put in some bets. The more money you bet with them, the more money they give you as bonus, since they know most jerks will just lose it! They gave me an extra $100 when I put $100 on my account last Christmas.
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By the way, Fish, my last bet I made on Sportsbook was a $50 bet on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl.
I placed the bet at the start of the playoffs, which gave me 15:1 odds. I had already started picking out **** to buy!
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That I do not know, I would be careful to read the fine print when it comes to claiming your money you win.
I put $100 on my account originally, got it up to as high as $281, and lost it all during NFL playoffs.
So, I have ZERO experience in that department!
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i wanna do a little more research before i put some actual money on the line but so far here are some observations:
- colts to cover at least 7 vs the bengals. colts have been close in there games since painter took over (cheifs, bucs both under 5) and the bengals barley beat the jags last week. i can easily see the colts winning this one
- i could see dallas covering, but r u ready to put money on romo vs the pats at home? sounds a little risky to me
- def think saints can take the bucs for more than 4. looks like a safe bet which means it probably is not going to happen
cant use sports book the registration isnt available in MD... danny how the hell you do it?
Like I said before, I did this over a year ago, and they used to accept prepaid Visa cards that you could buy at convenient stores. You used to even be able to call Sportsbook and they would plug in your zip code and they would tell you where to buy them!
Things were so easy then. I tried Bodog and had the same issue, let me know if it works.
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